Bet WNBA Allstar
August 21st Women news ... Bet WNBA Allstar at betwnbaallstar.com
WNBA: Intriguing pointspread on Tuesday WNBA board
2021-07-27
The Los Angeles Sparks are 7-16, the Minnesota Lynx are 7-14. Point differentials, strength ratings, and even game simulations suggest that these teams are very close to one another. That’s what makes it so intriguing that Minnesota finds itself as a 7-point home favorite for their WNBA contest Tuesday night , a line that quickly shot up from the opening number of 5.5. Are sharp bettors on to something about this game? Let’s take a closer look to see if we can’t all benefit from their wisdom.
The first thing bettors will want to consider when they look at the contest is its importance when it comes to the playoff picture since despite the teams’ abysmal records, Los Angeles can move into a tie with the Lynx for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference.
The Sparks have also beaten Minnesota in four straight head-to-head games while going 3-1 ATS. The early line move would suggest that bettors don’t give one iota about this fact.
The Associated Press game preview seems to be trying to lead bettors in the opposite direction, indicating “The Sparks appear to be facing the Lynx at the right time. Minnesota has dropped three straight and is coming off a 127-124 double-overtime home loss to Phoenix on Saturday, the highest-scoring game in WNBA history. “
However, it here where you realize that the difference in play recently is what may be driving the price on Minnesota higher & higher. When Los Angeles played Minnesota last month, the Sparks lost their star player for the season, Candace Parker, placing their hopes for a playoff berth in jeopardy. Parker dislocated her shoulder in the 88-84 win at home on June 13th.
That game, and injury, has sent these teams in completely opposite directions. The Sparks have gone 4-9 since, with the defensive effort suffering the most. Los Angeles has yielded 75-points or more in all but three games during that span.
The Lynx meanwhile, are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS, and though they have lost three straight games, the margin in those contests is a combined seven points, with losses to the likes of Seattle, San Antonio, and Phoenix. Minnesota is clearly a team that is improving as the season wears on, and this is an important contest for the franchise. The Lynx will have a motivating payback trend behind them for tonight’s game:
• MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 90.7, OPPONENT 81.4 - (Rating = 2*)
Speaking of revenge, how about a powerful system to back that trend:
• Play On - Favorites (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off an upset loss as a home favorite. (23-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Although the StatFox Game Estimator calls for a 2-point Minnesota win, plus the Power Rating Line and Outplay Factor Line both indicate a bit less, there seems to be enough evidence to believe that early bettors have this one right. Don’t be surprised to see the Lynx tear into the Sparks tonight in front of the home folks. They seem to be the more-ready postseason club at this point.
WNBA: Seattle versus everyone else in WNBA
2021-07-20
Perhaps you may have noticed in checking the standings in the WNBA on any given recent morning, but if not, I’ll summarize for you…It’s Seattle versus everyone else, and the chances of anyone keeping the Storm from the 2010 title seem to diminish each passing day. With a record of 18-2 after 20 games, they are five games better than any other team, and already lead the Division by 10 games. For bettors, most importantly, Seattle is tied for the best ATS mark in the league at 12-6-2. As an elite team, there are several strong betting systems that you’ll want to watch for with Seattle the rest of the way.
With a point differential of +9.6 per game (league best) and obviously having won many recent games, there are going to be numerous top angles from FoxSheets that would favor backing Seattle or an UNDER the total over the next several weeks. Records noted are as of Tuesday, July 20th.
• Play On - Any team - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after a win by 10 points or more. (32-9 since 1997.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
• Play On - Road favorites - after 5 or more consecutive wins, in July games. (24-5 since 1997.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 3*)
• Play On - Road teams - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, playing with 2 days rest. (32-10 since 1997.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 2*)
These are favoring UNDER the Total…
• Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing with 2 days rest. (35-11 since 1997.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
• Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game. (58-19 since 1997.) (75.3%, +37.1 units. Rating = 4*)
One other angle to take note of regarding the Storm is that they have thrived against poor defensive teams this season:
• SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 73+ points/game this season. The average score was SEATTLE 85.7, OPPONENT 73.3 - (Rating = 3*)
With scoring up significantly in the WNBA this season, only two teams (Indiana & Washington) are allowing fewer than 73 PPG, so Seattle figures to be in this spot for most of the remaining games.
The best news of all for bettors of the WNBA is that oddsmakers don’t seem to be giving this Seattle team enough credit yet either. In fact, the Storm has only been a double-digit favorite one time all season despite winning half of their 18 games by 10-points or more. Obviously there is still time to take advantage of Seattle’s WNBA dominance.